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Pre-Tournament
Betting
By Michael Boozer
Posted: 5:30 am PDT 2006-10-01 |
Courtesy Of Wager
Web Sportsbook |
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Years ago, referring to betting
golf, my colleague would say "Boozer, there's gold in them there hills." And
years ago he was correct, betting golf had a gold rush flavor, it wasn't if we won, it was
how much?
Unfortunately, the current landscape of pre-tournament wagering has gone from a boom town
into a ghost town.
This week I had an epiphany. It became ever so clear, that the profit potential when
betting golf before the event is nothing more than a dried up oil well. Fortunately, most
books have upgraded betting menus that now include the LPGA, Champions, and European Tour.
Moreover, some progressive books offer round by round and revised price options. So, below
are two reasons why in today's betting climate it's best to start investing after the
first round and wager in the world of revised odds.
1. Vegas Odds makers are better match makers.
While watching the emotional humiliation of the Ryder Cup it became crystal clear as to
the betting angle I'd employ for this week's AMEX Championship in London England. I was
going to look for 2 man tournament match ups with an emotional mismatch. For example, any
American golfer vs. a European golfer would be under investigation. Like last week's
article I was going to continue to ride the Euros wave of momentum. Guess what? Don Best,
a sports service and the bible to most North American sports books, didn't have a single
match up involving an American vs. European. I was SHOCKED! Not only did they cancel my
date with "MO MONEY," it proved they have someone very competent managing the
golf department.
2. Pre-tournament misinformation.
Accurately handicapping the tournament course, now more than ever, determines the punter's
success or failure. During the gold rush an incompetent Vegas odds maker would give the
key to the vault by mismatching players' strengths and weaknesses. For example, after
handicapping a course that requires accuracy, Vegas would mistakenly match an accurate
player against a stronger longer player. The mismatch was so bad that the need for
detailed course information was less a priority. Unfortunately, those days are gone.
Hence, there is a greater need for detailed information on course conditions. And
unless you are at the site it's to risky. Thus, watching the 1st round can potentially
answer vital questions that tilt the betting edge towards a consciences punter.
Handicapping golf is ever evolving and in the last 3 years the North American wagering
landscape has changed exponentially. As little as four years ago North American sports
books offered nothing more than bad Las Vegas PGATOUR outright odds, and 72 hole 2 man
match ups.
With the enemy (Vegas Odds Makers) improving it's game; golf betting is a game of
cat-and-mouse. So, if you seem to be losing bets before the tournament, consider waiting
and finding an edge during the tournament.
Revised prices give us players more time to pan for gold
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