I thought I was
going to take a big hit last week because I simply didn't like the slate of games at all,
but I was lucky enough to squeak out a winning week. That's five winning weeks in a
row, so that means my power rankings seem to be pretty good. I've been gambling long
enough to know that anything can happen, however, so I can't be too optimistic that this
will continue. One can hope for the best!
I'm going to base all my results on the
assumption I'm betting to win $100 with a -110 vig (meaning you have to bet $110 to win
$100) and buying on/off the 3 and 7 (and occasionally the 10) for -130 when necessary.
On to my picks for Week 8:
Houston +3 at Tennessee
Houston's coming off the upset win over
Jacksonville, and the Titans have had two weeks to prepare and are playing much better.
Houston, you have a problem. Buy to -2.5 and this is my favorite play of the week.
My pick: TENNESSEE
Jacksonville +7 at Philadelphia
Donovan McNabb and the boys are going to be
mighty angry after getting beat by a 62-yard field goal. Add that to the fact the
Jags are very banged-up, and I like the Eagles. Buy to 6.5. My pick: PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta +3.5 at Cincinnati
Chad Johnson is on the cover of Sports
Illustrated this week, and those of you who know about the SI jinx know what that means.
Seriously, though, this should be a close one, so I'll take the team with the nice
number. My pick: ATLANTA
Tampa Bay +9 at NY Giants
Tampa is playing much better, and I look
for the Giants to have a bit of a letdown after trouncing Dallas on Monday night.
Buy to +10. My pick: TAMPA BAY
San Francisco +15.5 at Chicago
I'd never bet this one because the line is
probably good, but I'll say the Bears win 28-10. My pick: CHICAGO
Arizona +4 at Green Bay
I don't see how the Packers could be
4-point favorites over anybody. Rookie WR Greg Jennings is out for this one, so I
think the Pack have some problems passing this week, and I look for the Cards to give a
much better effort than last week. My pick: ARIZONA
Seattle +6.5 at Kansas City
Kansas City off a big win over San Diego
and Seattle off a big loss against the Vikes equals a great situation for Seattle.
Even with backup QB Seneca Wallace, I like the 'Hawks. Buy to +7.5 (-150).
My pick: SEATTLE
Baltimore +1 at New Orleans
The Saints are still getting no respect
from the linesmakers, especially at home. My pick: NEW ORLEANS
St. Louis +9.5 at San Diego
The Rams also get no respect from Vegas.
They should be able to keep this within a TD. My pick: ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh -9 at Oakland
Wow, two Raider covers in a row. It
doesn't matter who plays QB for the Steelers, they'll win this one handily as the Raiders
come back to earth. My pick: PITTSBURGH
NY Jets +2 at Cleveland
Cleveland finally gets to play a team it
can beat, and I look for the Browns to do it this week. My pick:
CLEVELAND
Indianapolis +3 at Denver
Sorry, the Broncos are my favorite team and
all, but the difference at QB is just too much for me to think they can pull this off.
Buy to +3.5 and go with Peyton. My pick: INDIANAPOLIS
Dallas +5 at Carolina
I'll bet against the rookie QB on the road
almost every time (Leinart being the exception last week, and look how that turned out).
Can't believe Romo gives the 'Boys a better chance to win than Bledsoe. My pick:
CAROLINA
New England -1.5 at Minnesota
The Pats are quietly 5-1, and no one seems
to be talking about them this year. Minnesota comes off a big road win, and I look
for the Vikings to have problems at home this week. My pick: NEW ENGLAND
Week 7 results: 7-6, +$20
Season to date: 56-42-2, +$720
|
