NFL Week 14 Spread Picks - NFL News, Tips And Picks

NFL Week 14 Spread Picks
By Chris Goudey
Posted: 11:00 am PDT 2006-12-07

Last week saw the danger of buying points, as I went 8-8, but lost money because I bought off the 3 and 7 and lost in multiple games. This is yet another week with a Thursday game, so I'll do the best I can without a lot of time to prepare.

I'm going to base all my results on the assumption I'm betting to win $100 with a -110 vig (meaning you have to bet $110 to win $100) and buying on/off the 3 and 7 (and occasionally the 10 or 14) for -130 when necessary. On to my picks for Week 14 (note: lines as of Thursday at noon):

Cleveland +7 at Pittsburgh
I think we saw a glimpse of the pride the Steelers have last week, as they looked good against Tampa Bay. The weather could be a factor in this one, and I will always tend to favor the team with the better running game in that circumstance. Buy to -6.5. My pick: PITTSBURGH

Baltimore +3 at Kansas City
This is a huge game for the Chiefs, and with the strong home-field advantage they have, not to mention Larry Johnson, I▍l go their way. Buy to 2.5. My pick: KANSAS CITY

Atlanta -3 at Tampa Bay
The Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde team of the NFL showed its good side last week against the 'Skins, and I'll say the Falcons have another good one in them. Buy to -2.5. My pick: ATLANTA

Minnesota +1.5 at Detroit
Minnesota's QB and RB situation are up in the air right now, with the ineffectiveness of Brad Johnson and an injury to stud RB Chester Taylor. The Lions have played better the last two weeks, so I'll say they get the win here. My pick: DETROIT

Tennessee +1 at Houston
The Titans are slowly turning into a decent team, and I think Vince Young will show the Texans the good QB play they could've had if they had drafted him when they had the chance. My pick: TENNESSEE

NY Giants +3 at Carolina
These two teams are probably close to even, but I think Eli Manning's confidence should be restored after his nice game last week (albeit in a loss) against Dallas. Plus, the Panthers may be without Jake Delhomme. Buy to +3.5. My pick: NY GIANTS

New Orleans +7 at Dallas
With the confidence the team has picked up since the switch to QB Tony Romo, I think you're looking at the NFC champions in Dallas. Buy to 6.5 to be safe. My pick: DALLAS

Buffalo +3.5 at NY Jets
Buffalo is just a horrible road team, and the Jets really need this game if they want to stay in the wild-card hunt. Buy down to -3. My pick: NY JETS

Indianapolis -1.5 at Jacksonville
Indy will be nice and angry after putting up a stinker last week against Tennessee, and Jacksonville is way too inconsistent for me to pick in a game against a really a good team. My pick: INDIANAPOLIS

Philadelphia -1.5 at Washington
This is a good line in my opinion, and when in doubt I tend to go with the home dog. My pick: WASHINGTON

Oakland +11 at Cincinnati
Cincy is another team that's fighting for their playoff lives, and I think after losing to Houston last week, the Raiders are going into the tank for the rest of the season. The Bengals defense has been much improved recently. My pick: CINCINNATI

New England +3.5 at Miami
This is another very good line and it's very tempting to take the home dog here, but when in doubt, go against Joey Harrington. Buy down to -3. My pick: NEW ENGLAND

Green Bay +4.5 at San Francisco
Both teams got their lunch handed to them last week, but I think San Fran is the better team and will come back strong. My pick: SAN FRANCISCO

Seattle -3 at Arizona
Both teams are coming off very nice wins, but I do think Seattle is at least a TD better team than the Cards. My pick: SEATTLE

Denver +7.5 at San Diego
The oddsmakers are having a good week as there aren't many lines that I see that are off. This line is just enough to tempt me into taking Denver. If it's +7, I go the other way. My pick: DENVER

Chicago -6 at St. Louis
Rex Grossman's inaccuracy and the Monday night crowd will keep the Rams in this one. Buy to +7. My pick: ST. LOUIS

Week 13 results: 8-8, -$170
Season to date: 102-87-3 (54.0%), +$120

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