NFL Week 15 Spread Picks - NFL News, Tips And Picks

NFL Week 15 Spread Picks
By Chris Goudey
Posted: 9:00 am PDT 2006-12-17

In last week's article, I mentioned how many of the games I thought had good lines and many of the games were really just toss-ups to me. As a result, I put up my biggest stinker of the year, with a 5-11 record. Even the best handicappers have weeks like this, so I'll just have to grin and bear it. I'm still above 50% for the year and am doing much better than that on games I actually bet.

I'm going to base all my results on the assumption I'm betting to win $100 with a -110 vig (meaning you have to bet $110 to win $100) and buying on/off the 3 and 7 (and occasionally the 10 or 14) for -130 when necessary. On to my picks for Week 15:

Dallas -4 at Atlanta
This is a must-win game for the Falcons, and they should at the very least keep it within a field goal, even if they are missing their top two RBs. My pick: ATLANTA

NY Jets +3.5 at Minnesota
Both teams are still in the thick of the wild-card hunt, but with the Vikings coming off a nice win and the Jets coming off a bad loss, I'll take the team that's angrier. My pick: NY JETS

Cleveland +11.5 at Baltimore
The Ravens are playing very well right now, but in today's NFL, teams aren't at their best every week. I look for this week to be within 7-10 points. My pick: CLEVELAND

Houston +11 at New England
Both teams are coming off bad losses, but Houston has played pretty well on the road this year. I'll say the Texans keep it within 10, as New England just isn't playing very well recently. My pick: HOUSTON

Miami +1 at Buffalo
Hot-weather teams going into cold-weather stadiums in December are a great subset to bet against. My pick: BUFFALO

Pittsburgh -3 at Carolina
Pittsburgh knows it isn't making the playoffs, but the Panthers still can. Even with the milquetoast Chris Weinke at QB I look for Carolina to cover at home. Buy to +3.5. My pick: CAROLINA

Washington +9.5 at New Orleans
The Saints were unbelievably good against the Cowboys last week, but the Redskins have the type of running game that can give them trouble. Buy to +10. My pick: WASHINGTON

Jacksonville -3 at Tennessee
Don't really understand this line. By my rankings, I have Tennessee winning this one outright. The Titans are a much more confident team than the one the Jags beat a few weeks ago, and the Jags are due for a letdown after the big win over the Colts. My pick: TENNESSEE

Tampa Bay +13.5 at Chicago
It's another warm-weather team going into the cold-weather stadium. Mix that with the fact the Bucs are probably the worst team in the league right now, and this one should be a blowout. My pick: CHICAGO

Philadelphia +5.5 at NY Giants
I have this one at Giants -3, so I'll take the extra points and go with yet another dog. My pick: PHILADELPHIA

Detroit +5.5 at Green Bay
This is very similar to the above situation. I have Green Bay -3, with the two teams about even in talent and the Pack having the home-field. Give me the two extra points. My pick: DETROIT

Denver -2.5 at Arizona
One team has a defense and the other one doesn't. The two QBs are about even, so I'll go with the team that has the defense. My pick: DENVER

St. Louis +3 at Oakland
Yuck. This is a very tough one to call, because one team has a good offense and no defense (the Rams) and the other has no offense and a good defense (Oakland). They say that defense wins championships, so I'll go with the old credo. My pick: OAKLAND

Kansas City +8.5 at San Diego
The Chiefs and Larry Johnson gave the Chargers one of their two losses on the year, so they know how to play them. They don't have the great homefield advantage this time, but I'll say they can keep it within a TD. My pick: KANSAS CITY

Cincinnati +3 at Indianapolis
Cincy is the better team right now, so buy to +3.5 and enjoy what should be a great game to watch if you love offense. My pick: CINCINNATI

Week 14 results: 5-11, -$790
Season to date: 107-98-3 (52.2%), -$670

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